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Post by pappyjoe on Sept 13, 2020 8:08:25 GMT -5
Tropical storm Sally is forecast to be Hurricane Sally with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph when it makes landfall in Louisiana on Tuesday. The track this morning has it going in west of the Mississippi River near Grand Isle. We live close to the Mississippi state line, so we will be on the east side of the storm.
I still have most of the supplies laid in from the last hurricane and this one is expected to be a Cat 1 hurricane.
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calabash
Full Member
Posts: 560
Favorite Pipe: Baki meerschaum, 1972 Dunhill
Favorite Tobacco: C & D Yorktown, Stokkebye Luxury Bullseye Flake, Gawith St James Flake
Location:
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Post by calabash on Sept 13, 2020 8:18:15 GMT -5
Stay safe!
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Post by oldcajun123 on Sept 13, 2020 8:48:23 GMT -5
 Daughter is in Mandeville, texted her if she’s ready, said she was, husband flys for FedX, he’s in Germany. She’s a trooper I raiser right.
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Post by pappyjoe on Sept 13, 2020 9:06:43 GMT -5
Daughter is in Mandeville, texted her if she’s ready, said she was, husband flys for FedX, he’s in Germany. She’s a trooper I raiser right. Off the topic, but there are some good tobacco blends available in Germany that are hard to get over here. |
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Post by pepesdad1 on Sept 13, 2020 10:29:24 GMT -5
Prayers for all involved. Keep that generator close at hand.
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Post by toshtego on Sept 13, 2020 11:11:41 GMT -5
Best of luck to Brad and Joe and all of our friends exposed to this storm.
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Post by pappyjoe on Sept 15, 2020 8:06:47 GMT -5
SE Louisiana dodged another hurricane bullet. Praying for everyone in Alabama and east Mississippi.
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Post by pepesdad1 on Sept 15, 2020 14:30:21 GMT -5
Storm just doesn't want to move or quit...must be gettin' deep in Al. and Miss. Stay safe and stay dry!!
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Post by adui on Sept 16, 2020 11:32:39 GMT -5
Here's hoping everyone is staying safe! take care all.
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Post by pepesdad1 on Sept 16, 2020 12:45:06 GMT -5
All's well here in Tallahassee, now we are dealing with tornadoes and keeping the hatches battened down.
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Post by pappyjoe on Oct 7, 2020 6:44:05 GMT -5
Daughter is in Mandeville, texted her if she’s ready, said she was, husband flys for FedX, he’s in Germany. She’s a trooper I raiser right. Stay Safe, This one looks to be coming towards you. |
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Post by lizardonarock on Oct 7, 2020 7:02:19 GMT -5
Full tank of gas, coffee for two weeks, generator installed and tested, extra cash, powdered milk to give away just in case. About as ready as I can get.
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Post by pepesdad1 on Oct 7, 2020 10:23:52 GMT -5
Not sure what the strength is supposed to be...right now it is 145mph winds which is a cat.4. Hopefully it will lessen by the time it hits landfall around noon on Friday.
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Post by kxg on Oct 7, 2020 10:51:29 GMT -5
Good luck to all of you! Stay safe!
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Post by Legend Lover on Oct 7, 2020 11:12:34 GMT -5
Stay safe everyone!!!
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Post by Ronv69 on Oct 7, 2020 14:04:54 GMT -5
Guess I better call the nephews in Mandeville and Gretna. This gets old.
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Post by mrlunting on Oct 8, 2020 6:30:32 GMT -5
Don't float away in the storm. I like reading your posts.
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Post by pappyjoe on Oct 8, 2020 7:59:11 GMT -5
Not sure what the strength is supposed to be...right now it is 145mph winds which is a cat.4. Hopefully it will lessen by the time it hits landfall around noon on Friday. The forecast really depends on who you listen to and who you trust. For example, one report by a local media outlet in New Orleans has Delta making landfall as a Category 3 or 4 hurricane Friday afternoon. The National Hurricane Center has a forecast of the storm making landfall as a Category 2 or possible a Category 1. The following is from the NHC Forecast Advisory released at 4 am CDT this morning. It's what they are forecasting for Friday, Oct. 9 at 1 PM CDT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.8N 93.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 90NW. With max sustained winds of 90 knots, that makes Delta a mid-range Category 2. Then there is the question of how much the storm is going to weaken when it hits the slightly cooler waters near the coastline and the effect any westerly wind shear is going to have. |
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Post by pappyjoe on Oct 8, 2020 8:01:05 GMT -5
Guess I better call the nephews in Mandeville and Gretna. This gets old. Yes it does. As of this morning the New Orleans "Metro" area including Mandeville and Gretna are outside of the forecast "cone" and isn't expecting much in the way of wind and rain. |
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Post by toshtego on Oct 8, 2020 8:54:55 GMT -5
Best of luck to all affected. Appears you have all prepared as best you can.
Praying you all stay safe.
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Post by Ronv69 on Oct 8, 2020 11:01:47 GMT -5
Guess I better call the nephews in Mandeville and Gretna. This gets old. Yes it does. As of this morning the New Orleans "Metro" area including Mandeville and Gretna are outside of the forecast "cone" and isn't expecting much in the way of wind and rain. Glad to hear that, but it's going to hit somewhere that doesn't need it. I hear that Lake Charles is still a big mess. |
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Post by lizardonarock on Oct 8, 2020 18:26:04 GMT -5
350 miles from Cameron La predicted for Lake Charles again at a Cat3.
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Post by Ronv69 on Oct 8, 2020 23:15:43 GMT -5
That really sucks. Lake Charles is still trashed from the last one. My nephew has his shop in Sulphur 85% rebuilt.
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Post by trailboss on Oct 8, 2020 23:52:09 GMT -5
“ The forecast really depends on who you listen to and who you trust.”
I would go with the professionals and ignore the mainstream media.
To listen to them, everything is a crisis.
Case in point, whenever a snowstorm hits NYC, ground zero for the media we are suppose to collectively crap our pants.
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Post by lizardonarock on Oct 9, 2020 1:39:22 GMT -5
NOAA is pretty good but with hurricanes you never know. Kind of like predicting a string top the worst is when they stall and become giant rain makers.
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Post by pappyjoe on Oct 9, 2020 7:29:52 GMT -5
“ The forecast really depends on who you listen to and who you trust.” I would go with the professionals and ignore the mainstream media. To listen to them, everything is a crisis. Case in point, whenever a snowstorm hits NYC, ground zero for the media we are suppose to collectively crap our pants. I pay attention to the National Hurricane Center website. People talk about how good The Weather Channel and local weather forecasters are but they don't realize that they just re-interpret the data from NOAA and the National Hurricane Center. www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/091227.shtml?cone#contentsIf you look at the graphic, Lake Charles is right on the western edge of the storm track. Sulphur is about 8 miles further to the west. The area that should be concerned is Jennings, La. which is approximately 30 miles east of Lake Charles. |
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Post by lizardonarock on Oct 9, 2020 14:56:53 GMT -5
ETA 5:00 PM or so 105mph winds tracking to Cameron at 14-15mph 65 miles out at 2:00PM.
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bishop
New Member
Posts: 56
Location:
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Post by bishop on Oct 12, 2020 18:22:22 GMT -5
I have some relatives in the Galveston area, last I heard they're staying safe.
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Post by pappyjoe on Oct 27, 2020 7:49:49 GMT -5
And..... here we go again!
I mean, it's still October so why not squeeze in one more big storm.
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Post by taiguy66 on Oct 27, 2020 8:33:40 GMT -5
Wow... stay safe PappyJoe, will keep you in my prayers.
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Daughter is in Mandeville, texted her if she’s ready, said she was, husband flys for FedX, he’s in Germany. She’s a trooper I raiser right.
